Stats experts reveal how Premier League Table should look after 14 matches

In the 14^th matchday of Premier League Arsenal were the big winners, proving their form by beating rivals Tottenham Hotspur 4-2 at the Emirates. Meanwhile, Liverpool got a winner six minutes into added time as they beat Everton 1-0, while Manchester United were held to a 2-2 draw by Southampton. Talksport.com experts reveal how the Premier League Table should look after 14 matches based on “expected goals”?

• Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
• Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
• The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
• The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Burnley – Real position = 19

Real points = 9 | Expected points = 8.89

19. Fulham – Real position = 20

Real points = 8 | Expected points = 10.22

18. Newcastle United – Real position = 15

Real points = 12 | Expected points = 12.33

17. Brighton and Hove Albion – Real position = 11

Real points = 18 | Expected points = 12.49

16. Huddersfield Town – Real position = 17

Real points = 10 | Expected points = 12.60

15. Cardiff City – Real position = 16

Real points = 11 | Expected points = 14.51

14. Southampton – Real position = 18

Real points = 9 | Expected points = 15.93

13. West Ham – Real position = 13

Real points = 15 | Expected points = 17.15

12. Crystal Palace – Real position = 14

Real points = 12 | Expected points = 17.51

11. Everton – Real position = 6

Real points = 22 | Expected points = 18.97

10. Manchester United – Real position = 7

Real points = 22 | Expected points = 19.82

9. Arsenal – Real position = 4

Real points = 30 | Expected points = 20.64

8. Leicester City – Real position = 8

Real points = 21 | Expected points = 21.25

7. Watford – Real position = 10

Real points = 20 | Expected points = 21.71

6. Bournemouth – Real position = 9

Real points = 20 | Expected points = 22.09

5. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 12

Real points = 16 | Expected points = 23.34

4. Tottenham Hotspur – Real position = 5

Real points = 30 | Expected points = 24.04

3. Chelsea – Real position = 3

Real points = 31 | Expected points = 28.92

2. Liverpool – Real position = 2

Real points = 36 | Expected points = 29.24

1. Manchester City – Real position = 1

Real points = 38 | Expected points = 36.60

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